“Autonomous vehicles” (AVs) are effectively robots designed as cars on the road, which means all the risks apply to AVs, except at a much faster speed that can potentially kill people:
- They can be inherently stupid if not programmed correctly.
- Since the programmer must think of every “use case”, they can’t intuitively respond.
- While AI can generate some intuition, debugging it is an absolute nightmare.
This doesn’t stop the allure of the narrative, though, that it could replace the tedious experience of driving. The prize is far too significant to not be desirable to typical auto owners.
The automation of AVs come in degrees, and we’ve already flawlessly attained some of them:
- Level 0 – Completely manual controls. While some things like the parking brake may have an automated component, the driver is in full control.
- Level 1 – There is 1 automated element. The most common version of this is cruise control (or adaptive cruise control that slows from detecting vehicles ahead), where the driver is still in full control of steering and braking. These are as old as governors, and predates the automotive.
- Level 2 – Employs “advanced driver assistance systems” (ADAS) that help the driver. The driver still sits in the driver’s seat and can fully control the car at any time, though, so the features are simply for safety.
- Level 3 – The car can do most basic tasks, but a human override is still necessary for various “edge cases” (e.g., rainy weather, steep hills, etc.). This is a major technological wall because the automotive has complete autonomy.
- Level 4 – The car can do almost everything, but someone can still override the tasks whenever they need. Safety concerns mean it creates very specific and contentious political issues and moral questions.
- Level 5 – The car can do absolutely everything expected of it, and human interaction is gone, which also means a steering wheel and pedals aren’t present anymore.
As it stands in 2022, AVs need tons of development and test data until they can legally drive at Level 3 with full responsibility, and still encounter very profound issues in commonplace edge cases like construction zones. The marketing hype definitely lies about how soon it’ll happen. However, with enough machine learning and data, it will eventually become commonplace.
Before automotives, however, the more likely autonomous vehicle will be with drones. Drones are more lightweight, have a larger margin of error (since they’re airborne), and the risks of drones crashing is nowhere near the risks that come with a car (meaning less expensive debugging).
AVs require tons of input data to operate correctly:
- Detecting everything around the car with an array of video cameras and “light detection and ranging” (lidar)
- Detecting sound-based matters with microphones from every angle, such as car horns or collision sounds.
- Using incessant GPS tracking to specify the location and feed a learning model for all the other AVs, as well as complying with regulatory geofence requirements.
Conveniently, most vehicles manufactured after about 2001 have already added computers to at least some of their controls:
- The control itself is designed to give the same feedback as a direct mechanical control (e.g., brakes giving pressurized resistance).
- Information from the input travels into a CPU as an input number (e.g., accelerator, brake, steering).
- The computer then directly controls the component (e.g., throttle, brake, rack and pinion).
There are multiple experimental methods for rapidly mapping the environment around the vehicle, with new ones constantly introduced as possible features to make a more reliable automotive.
Further, most cars are also equipped with EDRs (electronic data recorders), so the information already outputs that data to a computer-friendly format, and many parts of it are standardized:
- The OBD-II sensor can have that data requested on command with a cheap reader.
- You can gather driving metrics by plugging in an OBD-II device that connects via a wireless network.
- Many vehicles can also send data wirelessly, without an OBD-II port.
Electric vehicles (EVs) are unrelated to autonomous vehicles, but they’re often discussed at the same time because they’re new technology.
Unlike ICE (Internal Combustion Engine), EVs are functionally a very large battery with an electric motor. Hybrid vehicles combine the benefits of both ICE and batteries.
EV motors are almost guaranteed to have less torque than ICEs, so they’re manufactured out of aluminum instead of steel (meaning they’re less durable). However, they also often have safety-enhancing Level 2 features to mitigate more severe accidents, and their lighter frame makes dodging or diminishing a severe accident easier.
All this extra complexity creates far more code and computer hardware inside autos, and more complexity creates more points of failure, which may be deadly on a highway. If the vehicles are all connected in an interdependent grid network (e.g., a robotaxi service), they might all go offline at once.
For example, when everything is controlled by software with a persistent wireless connection to the internet, the data is fully available to anyone, meaning it’s technically available for hackers, which could cause people to die from faulty software. Beyond bad actors, the owners of the vehicle can make modifications to their vehicles or reprogram the software, and large entities like governments or corporations could shut off the vehicle at their leisure. It’s a legislative nightmare.
Also, laws can be very difficult in light of a vehicle without a driver. Technically, the software developer is fully responsible for an AV that kills people, but society is quick to blame and punish, and it’s not particularly fair to attack a software developer for an edge case they couldn’t have predicted. Plus, there’s no way to recruit developers if they know they might be criminally charged with manslaughter later.
Another AV issue comes through insurance issues. The AV’s company is fully responsible for events that happen when the car’s auto-drive is on, but the human driver behind the wheel is responsible when they’re controlling the vehicle. When a human driver can override the automatic driving feature at any time, a person may panic and assume full responsibility for an otherwise-safe maneuver, leaving the human (and not the company) liable for damages caused by that split-second impulse.
Finally, the existence of AV making decisions creates situational ethics issues that had once been pure random chance, since an AV can swerve to prioritize saving the driver, saving the passengers, saving the most vulnerable people (e.g., motorcyclists or pedestrians), or causing the least property damage.
My Car Does What – built-in safety features of manufactured cars